Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000265 0.000296 0.000329 0.000368 0.000412 0.000460 0.000517
2025-01-26 0.000208 0.000253 0.000305 0.000371 0.000454 0.000555 0.000687
2025-02-02 0.000181 0.000233 0.000298 0.000388 0.000509 0.000667 0.000893
2025-02-09 0.000154 0.000208 0.000280 0.000384 0.000532 0.000739 0.001054
2025-02-16 0.000138 0.000193 0.000270 0.000387 0.000564 0.000823 0.001243
2025-02-23 0.000122 0.000178 0.000258 0.000384 0.000583 0.000890 0.001415
2025-03-02 0.000111 0.000167 0.000250 0.000386 0.000610 0.000971 0.001621
2025-03-09 0.000102 0.000157 0.000241 0.000385 0.000630 0.001043 0.001822
2025-03-16 0.000090 0.000142 0.000224 0.000368 0.000621 0.001063 0.001932
2025-03-23 0.000084 0.000135 0.000219 0.000370 0.000645 0.001144 0.002166
2025-03-30 0.000080 0.000133 0.000221 0.000384 0.000692 0.001273 0.002517
2025-04-06 0.000074 0.000124 0.000211 0.000376 0.000695 0.001319 0.002705
2025-04-13 0.000066 0.000113 0.000196 0.000357 0.000679 0.001327 0.002822
2025-04-20 0.000062 0.000109 0.000193 0.000361 0.000708 0.001432 0.003176
2025-04-27 0.000060 0.000108 0.000196 0.000378 0.000765 0.001606 0.003728
2025-05-04 0.000056 0.000102 0.000189 0.000374 0.000778 0.001684 0.004063
2025-05-11 0.000053 0.000099 0.000186 0.000377 0.000807 0.001805 0.004533
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000094 0.000181 0.000373 0.000821 0.001889 0.004925
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000091 0.000178 0.000376 0.000848 0.002012 0.005450
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000087 0.000174 0.000375 0.000866 0.002116 0.005948
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000081 0.000163 0.000358 0.000844 0.002110 0.006112
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000078 0.000161 0.000360 0.000869 0.002236 0.006722
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000078 0.000163 0.000374 0.000928 0.002465 0.007726